2011年11月14日 星期一

China Shock of 5% Growth Seen Deferred by Migrant Manufacturers

Guangzhou Constant Shoes Co. is set to abandon Guangdong, the southeastern province at the center of China's exporting boom since the 1980s, by shifting most of its production 500 kilometers (311 miles) inland.

Rising labor costs and a shrinking supply of workers in coastal areas are threatening to sap China's strength in exports, which account for more than a fifth of gross domestic product. To cope, the maker of women's and men's fashion footwear has chosen to tap a pool of cheaper labor in Yongzhou,Examine our Boat and Ship marcjacobsshoe here. Hunan province.

“Within a year, our Guangzhou factory will only make samples,” sales manager Leon Zeng said.

The more companies that join Guangzhou Constant in keeping production within China's borders instead of decamping to Asian neighbors such as Bangladesh, Vietnam or Indonesia, the longer the world's second-largest economy may avoid slumping to less than 5 percent annual growth, an outcome investors in a Bloomberg poll forecast by 2016.

“If we do this shift right, we can buy two decades and avoid shock therapy for the economy,As it's called pumashoes, which is one of the classical style of nike lineup.” said Cai Fang, a Beijing- based member of the standing committee of the National People's Congress who helped draft China's five-year plan through 2015. “We still have low-hanging fruit to pick.”

The transition won't be easy. While its new location provides Guangzhou Constant with tax breaks and cuts wages by about 17 percent, transportation costs will rise by about 20 percent because of the longer distance moving goods to port.
Supplier Shortage

Other impediments include fewer suppliers, the reluctance of young inland workers to take factory jobs and a lack of business savvy among some local governments,Blasted and distressed for the perfect rock star look, these comfortable cheapnikeairmax are ready to roll with your weekend rotation. according to manufacturers interviewed by Bloomberg News this month in Guangzhou at the Canton Fair, China's biggest trade show.

Additional headwinds may come from abroad, as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis and high unemployment in the U.S. threaten to undermine global growth. China's exports rose at the slowest pace in almost two years in October as Europe's deepening turmoil restricted demand.

Should companies overcome the obstacles, China's share of global exports could more than double to 23 percent in a decade, said Zhang Zhiwei, an economist at Nomura Holdings Inc. in Hong Kong.youredhardyhoodies, the uncrowned French king of luxury designer heels, brought a prototype from his new men's range to Dublin yesterday. That would give the country more time to shift away from growth led by investment and foreign sales to a greater reliance on domestic consumption, a central plank of its five-year plan.

China's economy expanded 9.1 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, the least since 2009, after five interest- rate increases starting in October 2010 cooled property-price gains.
Need for Housing

Suppliers of goods used to build or decorate homes will benefit as new inland factories help create the need for more low-cost housing, said Andy Mantel, managing director of Pacific Sun Advisors' Mantou Fund in Hong Kong.

“I look for good companies that are making products that will benefit from the roll-out of social housing,” Mantel said. His fund has held China Liansu Group Holdings Ltd. (2128),Ed hardy clothing online store, whether you are looking for fashion items, then you come to the right place, we offer a variety of womenssandals. a Foshan- based maker of plastic pipes, since last year.

Royale Furniture Holdings Ltd. (1198), which makes home furnishings and has more than 2,000 stores in China, may rise 84 percent to HK$4.13 ($0.53) in 12 months, according to Ethel Ng, an analyst with OSK Hong Kong Securities. The Hong Kong-based company opened 350 stores in China this year through September, Ng said in a Nov. 4 research note.

Higher wages from the spread of manufacturing will help buoy inland consumer spending, said Mark Mobius, Singapore-based executive chairman of Franklin Templeton Investments' Emerging Markets Group, which managed more than $56 billion in assets as of June.

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